This may not seem
like much, but the percentage of moderately overweight runners increased
from 21% before age thirty to 30% between ages 45 to 49 (see graph below).
Statistically, it appears that age-related weight gain and exercise-induced weight loss are independent, additive effects. Middle-aged runners
are leaner than more sedentary men not because the processes that promote
age-related weight gain are
abated, but rather because exercise-induced
weight loss offsets weight gain during middle age.
Our findings suggest that men who maintain constant weekly distances
through middle age are expected to increase total weight and waist circumference
(presumably intra-abdominal fat). Running distance needs to increase annually,
by 1.4 miles per week in order to compensate for the expected increase
in waist circumference between ages 20 and 50. This means that runners
who average 10 miles per week at age thirty should increase their weekly
running distance to 24 miles by age forty if they plan to still fit
into the tuxedo they bought ten years earlier.
(Permission granted to anyone wishing to use the images provided here when properly cited. Williams PT. Evidence for the incompatibility of age-neutral overweight and age-neutral physical activity standards from runners. American Journal of Clinical Nutrition 1997; 65:1391-6)